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Everything posted by Spartiati

  1. Except that the opinion clearly calls out the 6 states that are may issue and that may issue is unconstitutional. NJ must go to Shall Issue. The permitting scheme can stand with the removal of justifiable need.
  2. Favorable only if they seek damages it appears to me. Solicitor General basically shot down petitioners theories of mootness.
  3. This is most certainly true. The 1st is certainly a fine example of that i.e. the message in speech is core and thus can’t be restricted however restrictions time, place, manner etc can survive intermediate. My hope would be they would expound on what is considered “core” to the second amendment and if core strict scrutiny applies. Surely no slam dunk here but given they are holding other cases I think it is reasonable to think they are doing so because they believe the opinion here will impact them thus this will have a broader impact than just transport.
  4. That's what everyone thought about Chicago/IL and guess what they have reasonable shall carry now. If the court ends up giving us strict scrutiny it will be a huge win that will give circuit court little play in ruling on these idiotic laws.
  5. If this will be ruled on narrowly, then why have they been holding the NJ case since May? It hasn’t even been rescheduled for conference. Could it be that it is being held pending results of the NY case? If they rule strict scrutiny must be used they could send NJ back to circuit and say reconsider using result of this case.
  6. This case in my view will be heard. Will be scheduled once the court comes back in session. NYC’s argument was 2nd doesn’t demand strict scrutiny. Changing the law doesn’t address the issue of how they determine whether or not 2nd amendment laws need to survive strict scrutiny. Notice NJ case is being held sitting there since May. They will hopefully hear this case and set the record straight on scrutiny that needs to be applied, then send NJ case back to circuit to reconsider based on NY decision which will hopefully force strict scrutiny.
  7. Very few decisions are made on petitions at first conference. Most petitions are relisted several times. As an example, the Indiana abortion case was relisted 15 times before today's per curiam decision. The most likely result is it will be relisted for conference next week.
  8. Won’t be heard until next session in the fall.
  9. NY briefing has not been stayed yet. In fact the petitioners have requested that the motion be denied. Would be great if SCOTUS denied the motion and said nice try NY. As for NJ the court will now schedule it for conference. Should be soon. I would think it will go to conference within next couple weeks. Then it’s just a matter of how many conferences it takes for them to make a decision...
  10. Agree it was somewhat obvious but wouldn’t call it cowardly. No reason to allow SCOTUS to review this as the law was stupid to begin with and by allowing people to transport really doesn’t bring on much risk to the public. They know this would have been a lost cause. So it’s a fight not worth taking as SCOTUS will likely finally strike down the use of lower levels of scrutiny.
  11. Smart move from the left..They are working together across the country to try and limit impact to other jurisdictions. Will interesting to see what SCOTUS does here.
  12. Unfortunately the 9th circus will swoop in and present a strained argument for how it is constitutional...
  13. What video? I don’t need to watch a video I read the opinion. The opinion is that the law is not constitutional because it is an impossible burden in the home. It doesn’t say a thing about the fee. Read the opinion. This will do nothing in NJ.
  14. Read the opinion regardless of whether or not it goes to SCOTUS it doesn’t challenge NJ regime except you can’t require in FID in the home which we already have.
  15. That’s not the argument. Has nothing to do with fees. The judge is only saying it is unconstitutional to require the ID to possess in the home. This will not help us.
  16. Interesting, but the judge isn’t saying FOID in general is unconstitutional, but rather it is an impossible burden to require a person to have in there possession at all times an FOID card in the home in order to possess a weapon according to state statute in the home. He makes the argument that the way the law is written everyone in the home would need to have an FOID in order for there to be a firearm in the home because according to the definition of possession all in the house are technically in possession. Stange case will be interesting to see where this lands.
  17. I do wonder though with the NY case if they may decide to consolidate them and deal with restrictions as a whole, namely what level of scrutiny should be used to determine what “reasonable” restrictions are allowed. Time will tell.
  18. All the state has to do is cut & paste Drake. I predict we will get to the week of 3/22 and they will ask for an extension Conferences end in June so should give plenty of time to review for cert and then arguments in Fall. Not surprised they asked for an extension even though they will rely heavily on their response from Drake.
  19. Absolutely, no BS. If I set cruise control at 70mph I typically get 30+. If set at 65 it can do 33+. There are a bunch videos on YouTube If people testing and getting these results.
  20. Nice truck I like the ZR2 package not overly aggressive. I have a 2018 GMC Canyon crew with Denali that I have been debating putting a lift on and tires/wheels nothing crazy just a little higher. Mine is also the diesel which is absolutely stunning in terms of what your get in a 2.8l 4cyl diesel. I'm curious about your experience with the lift what kind of gas mileage you are getting and highway drive ability with tires. My stock set-up obviously drives well on the highway and get 24mpg straight city driving and 33mpg if I drive nothing but highway on a tank of gas. I also tow a 5500lb boat and get 15mpg on the highway under tow. Great truck thus far, came from a 2500 Sierra that got avg. 13mpg in mixed driving and 8mpg towing. I'm looking to do something similar to the ZR2 package but don't want to kill drivability on highway or mpg's.
  21. No I don’t. I think Republicans and Democrats pick judges based on what works for their politics. I believe for the most part Supreme Court Justices decide on philosophical grounds. My opinion. Didn’t say you were right or wrong my option is they disagree on philosophical grounds. That doesn’t mean people don’t have bias. Thats is always a factor
  22. Not in the sense that Sniper was referring to. There is a divide that sits within SCOTUS not on "politics" as the media likes to say i.e. republican jurists and democratic jurists but rather a philosophical difference. That difference is whether you strictly interpret the constitution as the founders understood it when it was written i.e. "textualism" or whether you can interpret it however you want based on what ever you think the American people want but clearly didn't vote on. If you want to call that politics within the court I'll give you that. Sniper was implying that jurists might not weigh in on an issue because they won't like Congress' reaction and I disagree with that. I believe they with held granting cert because of stare decisis in contrary to their philosophical beliefs and unfortunately there were not enough firm "textualists" to get it through.
  23. One other thing to think about and maybe you call manufacturer for help is you want to make sure you keep the tongue weight at the ball at about 10% of the boat weight or your trailer will wiggle on the highway. So getting manufacturers recommendations I think is important to balance the boat over the axle.
  24. That's because it has been a 5-4 spilt and Kennedy a huge concern. Many have argued that the reason Heller didn't go further was because that was the only way to get Kennedy on board. This is why they didn't take any cases. They just granted cert in the case you quote because the there is a lot more certainty that they will have 5.
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