Had a conversation last night with my daughter-in-law, who's in the real estate business regarding the upcoming eviction and foreclosure moratorium coming up at the end of the month.
Cliff notes version: These current high prices will be ending soon. If you're looking to sell, we're close to the top on prices. If you're looking to buy, try to hold out, as more inventory will be coming on the market, pushing prices down.
She gets access to the "heat maps" of people in pre-foreclosure. She says the list is off the chart, tons of houses are in this status. Now, some with do a mortgage modification, and roll past due balances back into their loans. But, she said many people have passed that window of opportunity to do that with their mortgage company. They will just "squat" and let the clock run out, just like back in 2008, but the numbers are WAY HIGHER this cycle. IN NJ, the process to foreclose can take years, specially with these high numbers.
If any of you remember looking around to buy in the last downturn, these pre-foreclosure houses ended up being in really bad shape, since people stopped doing maintenance on them. That pushed prices down too.
Regarding the rental evictions, all those tenants will never make up the overdue rent. They had a big party with all their stimulus dollars and UE kicker money. Even with evictions, it takes months to kick the freeloaders out. Then, where will they go and what landlord will re-rent to them, if they know they stiffed the last landlord?
Also, many ma and pa landlords stopped paying their mortgages without rent coming in. They are in the same boat as the homeowners above.
And, to add, these non payers of rent and mortgages in many cases, also stopped paying utilities and taxes. The utility moratorium is also coming to and end.
Bottom line, the current housing market will make 2008 look like a preschool party.