Typically, as in when people aren't panic buying and driving prices up.
This has been a supply chain issue from the very beginning. There will be no improvements anytime soon.
I also don't see how cheap Russian ammo plays into this, or components. Russian components made up an extremely small presence in American markets. Even more common complete cartridges make up something like less than 5% after considering all other imports and domestic production. Cheap Russian ammo going byebye is gonna really only hurt those who buy specific calibers. Most companies like Wolf, had already been moving production out of Russia anyway.
With the current clusterfuck around the world, inflation etc prices are gonna suck for a while.
However, demand is not weaning and thus shelves being stocked is not necessarily a good sign of improvement.
Powder and primers trickle out every week, anywhere reasonably priced sells out in minutes or hours.