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NFL/QB question

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Let's say you pick up the newspaper on Monday morning and the only thing you know about a particular NFL game is this: The QB was 21/36 (58.3%) for 286 yards, 2TDs, 1INT. Oh, and he ran for 80 yards. No scores, no other box score items, just the QB stats.

 

If someone put an empty pellet gun with the gas cylinder on empty the to your forehead and asked you whether this particular QB's team won or lost the game, what would you guess?

 

I'd say they won.

 

Punch line to come.

 

 

 

 

What does the pellet gun reference have to do with the question? My guess will be the same if it were a 44 magnum handgun with baby killing hollowpoints in it. 

 

Since we all know QB stats does not dictate the winner, I'll assume that your question is one of trickery. So that team lost, is my answer.

Let's say you pick up the newspaper on Monday morning and the only thing you know about a particular NFL game is this: The QB was 21/36 (58.3%) for 286 yards, 2TDs, 1INT. Oh, and he ran for 80 yards. No scores, no other box score items, just the QB stats.

 

If someone put an empty pellet gun with the gas cylinder on empty the to your forehead and asked you whether this particular QB's team won or lost the game, what would you guess?

 

I'd say they won.

 

Punch line to come.

Aren't there 2 QBs in any NFL game? One on each team.

 

How can you determine who won or lost based solely on QB stats without comparing the stats of both QBs to each other?

  • Author

You guys are reading far too much into this. A QB goes 21/36, 2TDs, 1INT, runs for 80 yards. Would you expect such a performance to be enough to win 60% of games? 70%?

 

Let me put it a different way: If you were the coach would you be satisfied with this performance? 

If he won yes. If he lost no.

 

Stats can't be looked at in a vacuum.

 

As a coach you want all of your players to be the best. If another QB out there went -

22/36

3TDs

0 INT

And ran for 81 yard

I'd expect my QB to improve.

 

You need to be better today than you were yesterday.

  • Author

There are plenty of stand-alone stats that are reliably indicative of who probably won.

 

If I told you a team ran for 450 yards would you expect them to have won or lost that game? If I tell you a team scored 53 points and nothing else, who probably won? If I tell you they intercepted the opposing QB five times and returned three for TDs and another to the 4 yard line?

  • Author

Tebow

You're an f-ing genius. Those were indeed Tebow's preseason stats. Not a bad "game" if you throw them together. Pretty darn good for a 4th stringer (by virtue of being cut). And yeah I'd say a team whose QB has an well above average day and who also runs for 80 yards has about a 70% chance of winning.

 

Now I'm not religious at all but you may recall the Eagles recently traded a QB with a 94+ rating over three years for a guy with significantly inferior stats, whose last two seasons ended in serious injury.

 

What is the possible connection, oh sage?

 

Mind you I'd be happy if the entire Eagles team got diarrhea before their 2015 encounters with the Giants. Still...

I personally would have kept Teebow as the #3. It makes no sense other then chip kelly is racist..... Oh wait

  • Author

The connection is both guys are serious Christians.

 

Speaking of the Giants I had difficulty recognizing more than 4-5 guys in the box score from their most recent four-field-goal offensive effort. Granted it's garbage time even by preseason standards. Still...

 

I think I'm gonna have to start lighting candles on Saturday nights.

With the entire league desperate for quality QBs, maybe Tebow wouldn't have gotten cut if he could only throw an accurate on-time spiral :)

 

Sorry Tebow fans, but success in college does not translate to the Pros. His wobbly inaccurate dead-duck throws just don't cut it in the NFL.

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