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Wow dude. I know why he was posting it, and it's because he felt the explanation might confuse a noob. The reality is for 9 it takes very little power to get past squid territory. Short of no charge, most undercharges are just failure to make power factor or cycle the gun, not safety issues like no charge or over charges. 5gr loads are in no way dangerous and will likely run the gun fine. Your advice wasn't wrong, but might make a noob leery of shooting their 5 gr loads when there's no need to be concerned it's anything other than kind of lightweight. It's still probably stouter than a lot of 9mm steel loads.

Dude. Did you miss the part where I mentioned how low base metal stocks have gotten? To go with that the price has jumped up. And you have all the "clever" people why decided this is when they'll start reloading. The bullets with the least silly problem are coated lead pistol bullets. The fancy rifle bullets for match grade have loads start setting up as the machines that make them can make more, cheaper bullets that use less raw material each. And those go into ammo rather than the reloader. Those businesses that cater to us don't necessarily have the ability to expand a day either. Of they supplied a thousand customers like you in 2019 they are probably trying to service 5-10k now.

Shipping delays are a factor. Not in the delivery to the retail channel, but in terms of keeping the machines running and fed with materials. Your bullet making machine can't run at full capacity if you have all the lead wire you need but not the copper strip for jackets or vice versa. Similarly if you have primers and bullets and brass, but the slow boat form Australia hasn't arrived with your powder, you can't make a cartridge. There are most definitely issues with delivery of these materials being delayed and arriving in spurts rather than a steady stream. The upside is since machines are getting idled on input materials, we may avoid the failures due to lack of maintenance we have seen in previous shortages. Maybe. As your idled machine has to be idled when there is labor there to maintain it. But I will once again list out what is contributing to this. 1) Unprecedented demand. We literally mined nearly 1% more new gun owners per month between 03-2020 and 12-2020. The reality is that demand wasn't even and the bulk of that came in the last 3-4 months of the year. January 2021 set a new record for NICS checks and I doubt the proportion of first time buyers is going to fall off a cliff. Pandemics, riots, and a government that reminds you daily that it is either adversarial or incompetent is making people want to gun up. Red, blue, purple... they are gunning up. 2) Lack of manpower. COVID restrictions negatively impacting production. Some places shut down and likely still haven't recovered from the backlog that created. But mostly it means that 100% capacity right now is less than it would be if they could run their facility normally. Similar manpower issues are plaguing the foreign suppliers of input materials and the shipping infrastructure. Most of our powder comes form australia, and I'm guessing their nitrating industry isn't on the list of critical businesses for their lock downs. Kind of like Italian sourced magazines have had supply issues. 3) Remington - due to bankruptcy, they weren't making ammo or primers prior to the panic. Having a major producer of primers offline reduces surge capacity and it did so right before we got the mother of all surges. 4) Market positioning prior to the pandemic. The reality is ammo sales were bad. Every player was looking at how to contract rather than expand and was trying like hell to draw down warehouse inventory that was a burden. $230 bras cased .223 was not a sign of a healthy market. 5) Wal-mart. They got out of selling the kinds of ammo everyone wants. Even if the pricing terms were awful, having a massive contract like that taking steady delivery adds stability to the product pipeline. That went poof and did so in the middle of massive market slump. 6) Base metal inventories. the mining business had a bit of a slump prior to this and also has manpower issues. But we had some mines turned off, and now we are having labor contract issues at one of the bigger copper mines. but you can go to the kitco base metals historical charts. They chart inventory as well as spot prices and we are hitting a new supply chain hell in that for some reasons. Put it this way, LME stocks 11-2019 were just below 300,000 tons on 4-2020 they were at about 300,000 tons after anormal seasonal dip in inventory. Right now they are at ~75,000 tons. Similar to October. Being near sold out is becoming the norm right now with occasional blips in large deliveries from mining contracts. NYMEX is below 65,000 tons of inventory. With low inventories, any blips in deliveries are felt immediately rather than buffered. The buffer has been gone since about 9-2020, so we are in a period of even jankier supply behavior. 7) Broken retail supply chain and markets. We have not seen ammo manufacturers move to direct sales to try to deal with distribution issues before. We have not seen retailers buying at retail to resell. On top of that the sneaker heads fucked up everyone's time in so many sectors of online sales. They took everything wrong with ticket sales and brought it to retail. You want anything scarce? Well fuck you and pay the scalper with the bots. Online retail hasn't evolved to deal with this problem and it is affecting fitness equipment, ammo, CPUs, graphics cards, gaming consoles, etc. 8) PRIMERS. they are always the limiting factor. There aren't enough, and it's hard to build out capacity. It's the most manual process of all the components, and bringing on line a large swath of skilled labor just isn't happening. COVID absences hit it harder, and it's not like the government is looking to hand out permits to make more explosives manufacturing even if that weren't a problem. 9) Risk. You have manufacturers coming off the trump slump and looking at what may be the most hostile executive branch in thirty years. How much money do you dump into online direct sales to get product to customer when you may not be able to sell online in 6 months or a year? There's lots of potential for capital investments to be shat upon and never pay back, so expansion is being done very cautiously. 10) Consolidation. We basically have olin and vista outdoors now for primers. Every ammo manufacturer that isn't owned by them is downstream of their supply. So if you have two companies decide a risk isn't worth it, the industry is avoiding that risk. It also means that if the industry tries new strategies to deal with this, you are picking from about 2 so you are not going to see much variance in mitigation plans. I'm still probably missing some stuff, but these conspiracy theorists are pushing some low-fi bullshit.

It does miss one key thing about steel case ammo. It didn't dream as well and gets the chamber dirtier faster. Where to can definitely get extraction problems is with switching from steel to brass case without cleaning the chamber. This didn't Halen in a few rounds, but if you just shot hundreds of rounds of wolf then switch to brass, the brass can get stuck. Worst case i saw was going from cheap steel cased to cheap Indian brass cased stuff. It ripped right through the case rim because the chamber was scuzzed up and the brass cases were way too soft. I'm not one for lots of excessive cleaning, but steel cased ammo needs more frequent cleaning of the chamber and bore from my experience.

Nah. It knows there's an audience looking for a conspiracy and clicks to be earned feeding them what they want.

Yeah the author is writing click bait. From the blog post. "During the entire war with Iraq and in Afghanistan, was there a shortage of ammunition as a result?" The article tried to say ofcourse not, and there never would be if the army or law enforcement needed more ammo. The thing is there was. And there was a massive primer shortage not seen since ~1995 when there were rumors that Clinton was going to ban primer sales by having the atf class then as high explosives. They went from $15 a box to $35 a box in weeks due to massive shortage. And it took about two years to run its course even with ammo becoming plentiful. Even with wolf and s&b getting into the US market. We also saw.380 disappear for a couple of years. Things like fiocchi buying 9mm bullets from precision delta because they had run out. And the demand then was NOTHING compared to what we are seeing. And we certainly weren't getting the influx if new gun owners into the market. And fun buyers clearing the shelves of everything. One thing we didn't see was 209s going out of stock, and we are now. We also never saw bird shot go out of stock. The price might not have been great our your choice of brand be available, but you corks always get something on for not to much of a premium. You did not see people posting pics of scoring five boxes of 16 gaufe bird shot while not owning a 16 gauge shotgun. You also did not see companies posting up apologies for having a 6-8 week backlog on shipping of stuff they actually have. I also did not get a steam of people who aren't gun people asking me how to get guns and ammo in previous shortages. You know what else we didn't see runs on? Body armor. Are they in on the primer conspiracy too? This shit is unprecedented. There's no mystery. Every brand of primer is made by an ammo manufacturer and they are getting first dibs on their own product.

Then you need to read better. "k. Purchasing firearm parts to manufacture a firearm without a serial number. In addition to any other criminal penalties provided under law, a person who, with the purpose to manufacture or otherwise assemble a firearm and without being registered or licensed do so as provided in chapter 58 of Title 2C of the New Jersey Statutes, purchases or otherwise obtains separately or as part of a kit a firearm frame or firearm receiver which is not imprinted with a serial number registered with a federally licensed manufacturer or any combination of parts from which a firearm without a serial number may be readily manufactured or otherwise assembled, but which does not have the capacity to function as a firearm unless manufactured or otherwise assembled is guilty of a crime of the third degree. Notwithstanding the provisions of N.J.S.2C :1-8 or any other law, a conviction under this subsection shall not merge with a conviction for any other criminal offense and the court shall impose separate sentences upon a violation of this subsection and any other criminal offense." Obtains is a really broad term. If you have an frame that hasn't been serialized with a manufacturer licensed by the BATFE, or you have an 80% receiver, then you are at peril. one of the legal meanings of obtain is "to get and retain possession of" I don't think NJ would be able to do jack about you buying and building at your cabin in PA, but bring it into NJ and you got a problem. Buy an 80% for a paper weight? You got a problem.

yes. .223 wylde 1 in 8 rifling. This is the way.

Back in like 2004 or whenever the shortage under bush was, I got screwed bad enough to start stocking a years worth of stuff. Then with Obama coming into office, I started stacking 4 years and replenishing on sales when at the 2 year mark for inventory and top up at least a year prior to a presidential election. I might move that to a 6 or 8 year supply topping up after 2 years of drawing on inventory, but that will require me to load more ammo faster.

That is what the process is. You have to nag them about the permits unfortunately. They used to be a town you'd get them in 60 days or less. My last go round I applied late October 2019, and didn't have them in hand until early February.

You can't be charged for something that isn't stated in a statute. The statute is about possession, not use. It just happens that some use cases make additional exceptions to the prohibition on possession.

I've seen them come and go in stock. right now rainier arms has the BA 17.7" hanson barrel "in stock". Dropped shipped though, so who knows.

If they had large multi year contracts, then likely no. If they don’t and do year to year contracts, then likely yes or they will very soon now.

Depends on your charge and your bullet. .45 you can triple charge a major PF load and stills eat a bullet.

That is definitely an over pressure round. I have never seen a case that FUBAR without the gun being damaged. Is it just the case head that is stretched or is the body of the case also messed up (i.e. you got a side view)?

I've found .50 bmg in stock for $3 a round many places. Mostly only selling in 150+ quantity. Just sayin... I mean if you have been putting off buying that .50 BMG.

Meh. They don't care as much about where the electricity comes from because in the greater scheme of things, as far as infrastructure planning goes, electricity is viewed as the universal translator of energy supplies. As a wholly separate thing from global warming, from a management and regulatory perspective, there is also concern about having to deal with changing and less homogenous energy supply, even when including fossil fuels. An electric house can run on oil, natural gas, solar, wind, nuclear, etc. Similarly an electric car can do the same.

FYI, that is not a great price for these particular calipers. You often see them go on sale for about $80. This particular model of mitutoyo are significantly cheaper than the rest, and after having tried, I have been unable to find out why. The only place I ever see them near MSRP is grainger.

Well dried pasta sealed in mylar with oxygen tabs will last a long time. If you can find some that is not made in a facility with eggs. I know several brands exist in that area, but no idea what the prices are like. Rice is not quite as durable, but similar can be done, and I believe there are more egg free facility brands in that area. Then you can add dried beans ot the mix assuming it is an actual peanut allergy and not a pea protein allergy. Similarly oats can be packaged up for quite a while. In general, you are going to have to look at extending the life of shelf stable foods. For the food in a bucket market, most everything is going to have whey, soy, or egg in it. The only other suggestion I have other than that strategy is talk to some Mormons. Even the ones in NJ tend to abide by the mandate to keep a years worth of stores on hand. Or at least attempt to. There is a lot of for mormons by mormons type of businesses that may have dealt with food allergy issues given the relative size and variety to the population.

Robinhood is at peril based on how much the SEC wants to enforce the law. The parent company owns both sides of the problem and is manipulating the retail market to benefit themselves. Although it is possible that that is not the root cause. It is possible that they were involved in illegally creating counterfeit shares along with other hedge funds and that there are literally no shares to buy unless retail coughs up some, or large mutual funds dump some. However, if this were the case, you would be unable to buy in any quantity form anyone who would have to go to a clearing house to square up. Which at this point, if I'm understanding what people are writing about all this, leaves you with fideilty and ameritrade IIRC. As they are both holding a nice chunk of GME. As for the silver squeeze, that's bullshit manipulation and might as well be ad buys. When posts that read like ads hits mere hours before every outlet writes an article like it was ad placement by a prep service, the statement in said articles is bullshit. Given the regulatory constraints on paper silver, you can't really short it. The government would have to decide they are going to enforce some sort of fractional metal reserve on them, which they have studiously failed to do over the years.

The bullets from ANYTHING that isn't slow and heavy are going to go that far. Even slow and heavy stuff will go that far if you point it sufficiently upwards.

As others have said, ar-15 or pistol caliber carbine. One other suggestion is if you ahve developed a flinch, very often it is noise related less than actual recoil. For that, you can buy a cheap set of electronic muffs, and get some disposable foam earplugs. That's the best combo of killing noise and still being able to hear stuff that you can get for the money you spend. (the cheapie howard leight or walker muffs are fine for this purpose and depending on catching a sale, $45-75). If you are noise averse, a pistol caliber carbine is going to be quieter than an AR.

Dunno about yesterday, but I scored some form midway about 1.5 months ago. Delivered it was about $55 per thousand for small rifle primers so 150% of normal times. I snagged some small pistol magnum right about when I figured the masses would start panicking on components. Indeed prices were rising and things were getting scarce. Those cast $42 per k, but they were also match primers, so only had cone up about 10% by that point.

Just an FYI. Selling ammo you made without an 07 FFL is illegal.

Right now no where. Which is why I said under current conditions, if you can get one, get it. In more normal times where there was actually things in stock, psa sold aero for $75 and primary arms sold Anderson for $47.99.