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Maksim

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Everything posted by Maksim

  1. Hey guys and gals, Just a quick update... there was a security update that needed to be applied to the site which forced me to upgrade a bit earlier than I planned. Should be done and working right now. Some features are still being upgraded and database being reindexed. So for now may be a tad slower... update in a bit.
  2. No. Read my articles on it. I am actually kinda close on pulling trigger on AOBC. The King Cobra is by all accounts so far, a GOOD gun. Trying to get my hands on one for testing.
  3. So I have a very good relationship with Ruger and they are flying me out to test their newest products. The price is actually not their idea... its called demand falling through the floor, and Smith and Wesson and others are trying to amortize the fixed expenses with higher volumes. They are all sitting on excess capacity right now and deciding between idling or making inventory to sell at far lower depressed volumes. The Ruger American Rifle, the Ruger Precision are all great and all.... but relatively speaking, are exceptionally light volume guns. Your bread and butter guns are the modern compact/full size polymer pistols, your basic AR15, and shotguns.... and in all of those markets, a ton of competition. Do you honestly think precision shooters make a difference for a company that sells 1.5 million guns a year? They do if you are say a company like Zev and targeting 20k guns a year... but drop in a bucket for a Sig, Glock, Ruger, Smith Wesson, and others. Prior to Sandy Hook, your basic DPMS AR-15 was around $750 or so. Today, you can get an equivalent gun for what... $400? After Sandy, everyone came in trying to capitalize on selling Basic $600 ARs for $1500 to suckers concerned gun owners and new gun owners on the fence. Then they bet BIG on Hillary... that did not happen and why now you have companies going through bankruptcies... Colt, Remington, AcuSport (Distributor), Gander Mountain and now you have Ellet Brothers/United Sporting Companies (Distributors) pretty much there too. The Ruger rifle is priced where it is not because they want to... but because they have to... because generally, people would reach for a Remington 700 or a Savage for around the same price. And business decision wise... Rifles are at 12 year low levels... Yes, very conservative company and are in the best shape simply because Trump was elected. (And no, they did not think he would be, at least the executive team). Had Hillary been President... Vista and Smith and Wesson would be partying from the cash coming in.
  4. 3?!?! Apply for 12 to 20. Then line up guns and buy them with OGAM collector's exemption.
  5. True but that really has not changed since 1999. The main reason why we look at NICS data is that it is the most up to date proxy we can find and once we work through the data to the adjusted methodology as I use, you look at the overall trends. That is all. In general, they line up very very well with the experience. You then adjust that baseline to what you see the manufacturers do or their product mix. For instance, is someone dumping a lot of rebates, etc. The best proxy is actually the Excise tax data, which is a simple % of sales price, but that data, while available, comes with a big delay. Beyond that, the people who do have data, are fairly fragmented and most are privately held, so the information is generally not shared. As far as new normal, I still think we have about 20 to 30% to go further down... but we do have to keep in mind that normal depends on who is in power. Right now we are still adjusting to the lower volumes past Obama. That of course leads to the last point... all nics is, is a proxy for VOLUME... does not at all speak about price or profits. Profits are down more than 50% for both Ruger and Smith and Wesson. But there are companies who are doing well and speaking to my contact in the executive office at that Austrian company... 2018 was their 2nd best year YET!
  6. I think the biggest disconnect "gun investors" have is that what is good for gun rights, is BAD for the gun business. You already have one of the major distributors pretty much in bankruptcy and a lot of over leveraged FFLs closing up (outside NJ). Small niche players can thrive and some are, like Zev, but when you are forced to produce millions of guns a year... not as good of a time.
  7. Hey everyone, some know, some don't... but I cover the gun industry for sites like Seeking Alpha and others. One of the series that I do that is read by pretty much most of the major gun companies is my NICS series where we take a look at background check data. Latest February numbers are out and they are fairly brutal. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4247075-nics-february-2019-brutal
  8. Did not know we have so many auction goers. =) Great stories, thanks for sharing.
  9. Often been asked about why and how someone can go about buying guns and accessories at a live auction.
  10. Crazy, I was just looking at this yesterday. Was quite surprising to learn that 4 MOA was acceptable! PPU Match Ammo is supposed to be quite good but if you are getting 3 MOA out of PPU, awesome. Their loads sometimes run a tad hot however it is pretty well priced ammo and always a great source for brass for when you plan on reloading for yourself. If you are able to reload, do so, you will always be able to find a load that works for you.
  11. You are completely right that they need to be challenged beforehand... unfortunately it was prove time and time and time again... the people who are writing the laws DO NOT CARE! Just look at OGAM and how many people showed up, and they still passed it. Realistically I think the only way they wont is if we start contributing to their campaign and paying them NOT to take up the issues... But keep in mind, Trenton is generally controlled by the ghettos of NJ.
  12. thanks... So totally get it. The listing in the Ranges Directory is there for two reasons... 1. Let people find the range on a map and 2. have a place for people to leave reviews, good or bad. (this is what will show up in search results and the one that most people will be finding. The purpose of the Clubs listing is as a social group, for members of the club and those interested (as it is a public club) to discuss things going on in the club itself, or to set up range days, etc. Hope that helps.
  13. The way it worked with fireworks is cops would sit in parking lot and follow out of state plates back to jersey or ny. For guns.... well Bloomberg already pressured one gun store here in PA to put up cameras iirc because it is in tourist town with lots of nyc people.
  14. Completely agree, it is all about making it more expensive as an outright ban does not and will not work. I am waiting to hear see about new excise taxes, ammo, etc
  15. Considering that the CCW is primarily for LEO... I fully expect it to be in effect as well. Overall though, I suspect they will receive lots of outrage and then they will cut the fees to around $10 to $20 for a pistol permit, $25 to $50 for FID, and $100 for CCW.
  16. Ok, so then this is a great thing that we have this issue. For the "Clubs" feature, it is for the members to discuss the clubs, issues, organize events, etc. For the range listing page... I want HONEST opinions and reviews. @Golf battery that is where your things should go. And I invite both, positive and negative.
  17. Actually, that is precisely the point of why I created the range pages and the clubs. Discuss them, leave honest reviews, THAT is what helps the gun community. Please do share your experience and your thoughts on the range page as a review.
  18. Ok, enough fun and excitement. Boys and girls, don't be an idiot asking in a law abiding community how to break the law.
  19. Also added a calendar, under "Events" where you can post get together, etc.
  20. Here is the link to the Range 14 club here in NJGF.
  21. Added a club for Range 14 as per request. It is open, so if you are a member, join.
  22. All of his posts are still tied to that user name. Yes, can see the IPs associated with the account, but not going to post it publicly. I really believe this is a case of someone being a bit silly. a brand new person who thinks gun owners easily skirt laws.
  23. GunMagWarehouse - $30.99 Natchez SS - $30.49

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