Displaced Texan

Only working on my first cup of coffee...bear with me... Data is an interesting thing, and it also can be a rabbit hole. We have to be careful of ALL the data, how it’s collected, measured, and how it’s normalized. I think the MSM as a whole does a poor job of doing that. I’m not picking on you, Kevin, but I don’t know if that 3000 people/day average death rate is accurate (I haven’t Looked at the numbers), but let’s assume it is. In examining the death rate data, we have to take in account that there are also many other factors to consider. You have to dig into the right data in the right WAY to be able to tell the whole story. For example... How many people (upon average) would have died each day in traffic (MVA) fatalities? Since we are under ‘quarantine’, we (presumably) have less traffic on the roads. This translates to less accidents, which means less MVA deaths. How does this change the 3000 deaths/day stat? Does this reduction in traffic, and traffic related deaths correlate with the NORMAL rate of MVA related deaths per day? Additionally, now many people would have normally died in work related accidents (WRA) that are NOT dying in these type of accidents because of the lockdown? How many people WOULD have died due to a bee sting that are not now...because not as many people are working in their yards? By the same token, how many wives were killed by their husbands (or vice versa!) from being quarantined together for too long?! Silly example, I know..but it illustrates the point. I’m quite sure we are going to see interesting stats on death rates overall as a result of this. How we dig down into it if extremely important. HOW the data is counted is equally, if not MORE important than the data itself. Remember the 1994 Clinton Crime bill (that gave us the AWB), and how ‘they’ told us it ‘reduced’ crime? When we dug into the data further, it was determined that the AWB had negligible effects on the crime stats...that new/innovative policing strategies and techniques had the most drastic effect on crime reduction, as did economics. Correlating the AWB to the reduction in crime was simply NOT the true picture. Accurately differentiating between actual deaths caused BY COV-19, and deaths of people WITH COV-19 is extremely important. Of those who die OF it, factors have to be normalized for other data (health risk, age, etc). Same as seasonal flu...people dying OF it have other factors to consider. Example...If 72 year old John Smith DIDNT have COPD, and heart disease, would be have died of the flu? Would the flu be any more/less deadly? What about Sally Adams? Sally is a 24 year old female with no known major health risk factors, why did she die of the flu? MANY factors have to be normalized for/taken into account in the statistical equation for COV-19 deaths. Among them: age, race, economic status, education (yes, even that), underlying health factors (by category)....many, many things...before an accurate model can be determined. It takes a lot of data and time to sort through the data before we are able to see the true picture. Yes, I realize I’m making very general statements (as opposed to using real data examples), but I’m trying to keep it simple in order to illustrate the point...(and it is worth saying AGAIN) be careful with data, how you collect it, count it, measure it, and weigh it against statistical norms. In the mean time, (yes, people are dying, I know that’s important..and scary for some), we have to wait for the true picture. True statistics considerably lag data....so while we wait, be safe, careful, keep your head about you, and don’t panic over all this.

I know you’d like to eat my meat

I was just happy to have decent enough weather to lay it down! It’s either been rainy or windy over the last week or so.

I’ve said this several times...be careful of the ‘statistics’ that are being circulated in the MSM...they can be quite misleading in that regard. People who die as a ‘test positive’ for COV-19 are being, in MANY instances, counted as COV-19 deaths. That’s simply NOT accurate. Beware of raw data, as it doesn’t paint the correct picture. I posted this before in the 1A lounge, but this blog is worth reading and following. It’s updated daily, sometimes several times a day. It will give you insight into that very thing..as well as other interesting COV19 info. https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/

Bayonne is a crap hole...everyone stay away!

Thanks for that...very good information and very informative!

I cut on Thursday for the first time this year. Laid down crab grass preventer and lime today.

Interesting about Adco. I’ve used them for many years and never had an issue. Really only for compliance work, pin/weld muzzle devices though. I’ll keep that in mind, although I seriously doubt I’ll need any compliance work done EVER again.

Simply, M-Lok is a method to attach rails to a properly equipped hand guard. Supposed to be very rigid, but I admittedly don’t know much about it, as I use mainly Colt monolithic uppers.

Turbocharged, supercharged, and nitrous.

We know that COV-19 is very similar in molecular structure to SARS-Cov. I ran across an NIH paper from 2005 referring to chloroquine vs SARS, indicating favorable results... https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1232869/ I’ll have to go back through a few of the papers I was reading last night regarding the differences between the response of COV-19 and SARS to chloroquine ...something about a monoclonal antibody...anyway, I’ll find it and post it. Data on a molecular level is VERY encouraging. While this info is exciting on a molecular level, human results can be completely different. We do know quite a bit about how chloroquine acts in human tissue after 50-60 years of this drug being used and studied, but empirical results are everything, and not everyone responds to a drug the same way. We shall see. BTW...I was excited to glance over a paper that indicated that a lab at UT Austin solved the molecular structure of COV-19 on one of the X-ray diffractiometers I personally installed/maintain...not that it’s a big deal, but sometimes it’s fun to see people I know impact the industry.

Mmmmmm mmmmmm! I love me some feet and beaks!

Eh, brakes are overrated. Live on the edge of moms basement, V9

I think this is closer to the truth. Pre coffee...bear with me. In a state like NJ, where it is required to jump through various hoops to get a FIOD card before one purchases even a long gun..I doubt that the vast majority of the recent purchases are by anti 2A people now buying AR-15s. IMHO, the vast majority of these purchasers, are solid 2A supporters who were already FOID card holders, who were, for whatever reason, late to the AR game. While we will get an uptick in gun owners, many, or most of them will not be ‘enthusiasts’. Most of them will not be pro 2A (as in ‘shall NOT be infringed’). They will not understand, nor care about, the importance of the 2A and why it exists in the first place. I know many liberal ‘gun owners’....these are gun owners in the respect that they have grandpops old over/under shotgun or daddy’s lever action deer rifle stuck in the back closet, hasn’t been used or touched in 40 years... They’ll tell you all day long how they ‘believe’ in your ‘right’ to own a firearm...after all, THEY do!! They just don’t think you should be able to own a semi-auto rifle, or a handgun...only the police, or the military need those... I DO think that we harbor a responsibility to foster them, teach them, and educate them on the 2A, and why it’s important. We are the mentors, we have to be the positive example.

As seen in the hood...

I don’t know anyone locally who has the capability to thread a muzzle (maybe Remixer), Adco firearms in Ohio can, and specializes in AR-15’s.

Sorry...typo.

‘Vacuuming the cat....is that what the kids are calling it now?

I seem to remember having that conversation with my FFL and he told me that a complete lower would be transferred as a rifle..although he may have presumed it included a stock. Or maybe I mis-remembered...could be that too.

No problem at all doing this. The complete lower will be transferred as a rifle.