KABOOM!!! Has been issued!

 

Edit:  Yep - facebook has it.

 

 

 

KABOOM!!!

This is the result of the latest high-res 4k NAM...one of a few short-range models (as well as live observations) that will help me make my final snow map for this evening. It has been consistent over last few runs but it somewhat of an outlier as far as how far north the heaviest snow makes it. Other guidance still has a sharp precipitation cut-off running through NNJ. Let's see what other guidance says. Buckle up though Jersey. It's on. Be safe! JC

 

 

Oh man - I hate snow.  Looks like a genuine doozy. 

Updated models:

 

My Daughter loves Purple, my Son loves snow, it the 15-18" is right, I'll let you know  -  TM

Game on!

Has anyone seen a good current conditions map where the storm is right now? 

 

It seems the calm before the storm is just about over, the sky here (07724) was clear up until 0900hrs but is transitioning to that overcast winter grey.  Last night the sky was as clear and beautiful as I've ever seen.  Kinda gave me a bad feeling about what's to come.

Has anyone seen a good current conditions map where the storm is right now? 

 

It seems the calm before the storm is just about over, the sky here (07724) was clear up until 0900hrs but is transitioning to that overcast winter grey.  Last night the sky was as clear and beautiful as I've ever seen.  Kinda gave me a bad feeling about what's to come.

So are we Officially KABOOM or now

The precipitation field for this storm is larger than modeled and will likely push further north than previously modeled which means all of NJ could get some impressive snow totals.

 

Again, this storm is very much an analog for the January 1996 storm.  Size, intensity, track, etc. are all very similar.   The northern cutoff will be the deciding factor really, if you are south of it, you're getting a bomb, north of it and the snow will peter out pretty quickly.

 

I'm in Sussex and the national weather service has me in 4 to 6 inches but it's looking like those totals will go up.   The NAM is overdone as far as precip, but it has the right precip field and it puts me in a heavier band meaning North Jersey may over perform and the rest of Jersey will still get 12-20.

 

We'll see.  I wouldn't mind a big dump, but I doubt we'll get crazy numbers north of 80.

A buddy in No.VA says they already got 7" and are expected to get a total of 22" +

 

160,000+ NOVEC customers without power right now.

5 day forcast keeps upping my snow now 8-12.  past few days had everthing from <1' up to this lol. no big deal, my dogs will have fun, my mom keeps complaining.....sos. 

Edit:  Yep - facebook has it.

 

 

 

 

 

 

not a fan of this map...

When i see the map, I think of that sound effect in Star Trek 1 when the VGer cloud is first seen.

Sort of like this:

 

The weather channel posted a snow map.

 

 

The weather channel posted a snow map.

 

 

I'm now in the pink. HOLY CRAP!!!

 

Storm preps done. Ready to ride it out.

 

Here's a good start to a pot of chili. Tonight, it will be delicious. Tomorrow, it will be amazing. There will be corn bread too, cooked in a cast iron skillet, of course.

Here's a good start to a pot of chili. Tonight, it will be delicious. Tomorrow, it will be amazing. There will be corn bread too, cooked in a cast iron skillet, of course.

Nice! I've got some venison chili in the freezer that I made a few weeks ago. I plan to bust that out this weekend.

Oh man...i forgot I had venison in the freezer. Next pot.

 

This one has a seared duck breast in it, and I browned the beef with that lovely duck fat....

That forecast nailed it!

Cool. I used bison last year in a batch. It was great!

Not sure I completely buy that map.

 

Everything I see is South Jersey getting screwed 20-30". And I'm still at 6" to less than a foot, which I am OK with

 

Don't forget the toilet paper!

Cool. I used bison last year in a batch. It was great!

My dad makes bison chili, it IS great!

My dad makes bison chili, it IS great!

 

As long as you aren't the Bison.

As long as you aren't the Bison.

 

Knock knock

Who's there?

Apex.

Apex who?

Apex predator <nom nom nom nom nom>

Bahahahaha

Knock knock

Who's there?

Apex.

Apex who?

Apex predator <nom nom nom nom nom>

LOL

I'm set. Full house natural gas gen on stand by. 15 cords of wood in wood shed for wood boiler consumption for all heat, hot water and hot tub needs.  Skid steer fueled up and ready to go sitting in heated garage. Wife ready to plow our driveway and several neighbors also. She loves that thing. Me........ working till midnight tonight, back in 6 am tomorrow till midnight Sunday! This is my 32nd winter doing this crap. I can't wait till I retire........ and I'm moving to where it doesn't snow.

Knock knock

Who's there?

Apex.

Apex who?

Apex predator <nom nom nom nom nom>

 

LOL!

Don't know what's happening in Cape May, but they're probably boned...

Don't know what's happening in Cape May, but they're probably boned...

Ha Good one!!!