Someone is getting a lot of snow on Friday Night and it might just be most of us here in NJ.

 

Most of the models and even the national weather service all agree that this is going to be a storm and it's tracking very similar to the January 1996 snow storm that dropped 18-36 inches all over NJ.

 

Right now it looks to hit southern NJ early Friday afternoon and north Jersey a bit later.  

 

Snow maps at this time are fantasy land and really have no bearing in final reality, that said, run after run after run has put this one on this track, wobbling only a little in either direction.

 

Since no snow storm thread is complete without a wish casting snow map, here ya go.  Realize this is a 10:1 ratio map, areas of the interior are more likely to be 12:1 or a touch more.

 

We're going to get 6 inches of snow at the very least, so if you have a flight on Friday, move it earlier or change your plans because once this thing starts the airport delays will end up being epic.

 

 

 

So does that mean the USPSA at Old Bridge Sunday is a lost brass match?

Crap - time to get another shovel...  Will hit up Home Depot on the way home...

So does that mean the USPSA at Old Bridge Sunday is a lost brass match?

 

If the forecast verifies, it's going to be the the shrinkage match as you're going to be tromping around in waist deep snow

Given OB posted new rules about range closure for snow, if we get significant snow it'll be canceled.

Counting on the GFS again, we know how that usually turns out.  I love how they think they can predict 4-5 days out when there are so many variables.  I guess Wednesday will give us our first real look.  Wish it would just go away!

I would love some real snow

^Me too! My snowboard is ready

Counting on the GFS again, we know how that usually turns out.  I love how they think they can predict 4-5 days out when there are so many variables.  I guess Wednesday will give us our first real look.  Wish it would just go away!

 

The GFS, the Euro, The CMC, GGEM, UKIP,(probably others) are all in agreement.  The only major disagreement is the Euro Parallel which is a beta model that has been performing very poorly this year.

Milk , eggs and bread!

Weatherman, only job you can be wrong at and not get fired

Crap - time to get another shovel... Will hit up Home Depot on the way home...

dont forget the bread and milk.

 

 

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Last year I spent the extra money and got a good quality shovel. It really makes it easier to shovel but man is it heavy !

Last year I spent the extra money and got a good quality shovel. It really makes it easier to shovel but man is it heavy !

are you sure you don't need another one???

I have extra snow blowers...

My wife's nephew is sort of a savant when it comes to weather prediction, both long and short term.  He predicted the warm weather in December sometime back in August.  He also predicted this will happen when I saw him at Christmas.  I realize he might get lucky sometimes, but can text him this far out and I bet he will give us the actual totals right now.

 

I always thought he had some degree of Asbergers, but he normalized the rest of his social skills quite a bit and now has a full scholarship to Penn State.  I doubt I'll see him in front of any blue screens on channel 5.  More than likely he'll go right into corporate risk management as consultant.

 

Anyway, I'll see if I can ping him tonight so we can see how he calls this one.

Guess I had better get some gas for the ginny and the snowblower

I am definitely ready for some snow!

My wife's nephew is sort of a savant when it comes to weather prediction, both long and short term. He predicted the warm weather in December sometime back in August. He also predicted this will happen when I saw him at Christmas. I realize he might get lucky sometimes, but can text him this far out and I bet he will give us the actual totals right now.

 

I always thought he had some degree of Asbergers, but he normalized the rest of his social skills quite a bit and now has a full scholarship to Penn State. I doubt I'll see him in front of any blue screens on channel 5. More than likely he'll go right into corporate risk management as consultant.

 

Anyway, I'll see if I can ping him tonight so we can see how he calls this one.

I'll bet on him! Better than weather channel!

I am definitely ready for some snow!

 

Yeah, me too.  The latest runs are still about the same, the major precip field is a bit further north which puts more of it into NJ and really clobbers eastern PA.   This thing is a beast.

Eff snow, i was hoping to make it through the winter without having to put the plow on the truck.

Looks like I picked the wrong week to stop sniffing glue.

They knew the risks when they bought their tickets;  I say...Let em' crash!

Just got home from Costco. Tomorrow, gas for the generators and I will be ready.

Weekend snowstorms always mean beers around the bonfire with the neighbors.  Gonna go stock up. 

Guess I had better get some gas for the ginny and the snowblower

Don't forget the mountain lion feed!

Picked up a shovel and some salt.

Picked up a shovel and some salt.

 

You'll need it.

 

This morning's guidance show the storm is a little further north and east, putting Philly, North NJ into the heavy snow axis but all of NJ is still getting it.

 

The storm is no onshore yet, so there's still time to change, but we're definitely getting snow, now it's a matter of who gets the most of it.

 

Don't forget the mountain lion feed!

I'll feed it union contracts, they love the part about being able to punch someone elce

^Me too! My snowboard is ready

 

If i snowboard ill break a hip

 

I enjoy taking the snow blower into my back yard and running it in a large circle blowing it into the middle and letting my kids sled down it.... last time the Mount Blaier lasted well into spring.

If i snowboard ill break a hip

 

I enjoy taking the snow blower into my back yard and running it in a large circle blowing it into the middle and letting my kids sled down it.... last time the Mount Blaier lasted well into spring.

.... I wonder how much damage the Yard Guard edge on my plow would do to the yard. can you imagine the snow pile I could make?