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Barms

LEE

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you can always count on me to talk about a potential hurricane 7 days or more away.   Hurricane LEE seems to be veering more and more west with each model update.  It will be a major storm regardless of it hits the coast or not.   Keep an eye on it..   All the focus on this storm will be if it is not able to keep pushing east as it heads up the atlantic coast.   Just as recent as this morning there was not a single model run that had it touching the US coast.  Now simulations have it hitting Massachusettes.

13L_gefs_latest.png

 

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1 hour ago, Barms said:

Models have Lee project to reach top wind speed of 205 mph.. It will be the highest reading of any storm ever in the Atlantic
 

In recorded history... get it right. You, nor anyone else has any idea if one hasn't been stronger, even in the last 500 years, let alone all of history.

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On 9/8/2023 at 12:44 PM, Barms said:

Models have Lee project to reach top wind speed of 205 mph.. It will be the highest reading of any storm ever in the Atlantic
 

The NHC shows it staying below 137 knots.

https://www.cyclocane.com/lee-storm-tracker/

Quote

Maximum sustained winds remain near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher
gusts. Lee is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some strengthening is forecast over the next
day or so, followed by gradual weakening.

...


As mentioned above, fluctuations in strength are likely in the 
short term due to eyewall replacement cycles, but there is an 
opportunity for some strengthening during that time since the 
system is expected to remain over very warm waters and in 
relatively low wind shear conditions.  Beyond a couple of days, 
however, progressively cooler waters and a notable increase in 
shear should cause Lee to gradually weaken.  Although the weakening 
is forecast later in the week, Lee is expected to significantly 
increase in size and hazards will extend well away from the center 
of the storm by the end of the forecast period. 

image.thumb.png.9ce5d574220f7483d2c352f8e0a7ae7b.png

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whats a knot?    :-)

BTW...  i just learned today that sometimes when you embed a link it will UPDATE.  check out my original post.. now the visual is dated today Sept 11..  yet i posted it last week...

and if that one path to NJ becomes true..  it will be the first time on record that a hurricane follows the outlier path..   its true.. i've been tracking storms for 500 years.

 

 

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