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raz-0

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raz-0 last won the day on December 2 2019

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About raz-0

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    Sayreville, NJ
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  1. The smart gun law was repealed and replaced with a different version that simply requires every gun store to have and display one model of smart gun with some marketing crap explaining how it provides features other guns don't. But that is after the Attorney General declares a smart gun available for purchase. And it doesn't affect you keeping your old guns. I don't think the new law will even prevent the sale of new guns that are unencumbered by this BS. We've already had this game played with an RFID encumbered handgun. Those didn't trigger the old law and likely won't trigger the new one. Mainly because they identify an item rather than an individual. The basic technology in play here has been rejected by law enforcement repeatedly since the 80s. The electromechanical interrupts are usually unreliable, and RFID can fail due to interference. If any get sold, someone pro 2a and and of a security oriented mindset will buy one and defeat the "security" mechanism. The last go round just required a strong magnet.
  2. I mean if you are someplace you can't possess them, you can't really use them there legally speaking. It's jsut that the charge will be possession of them.
  3. raz-0

    Precious metals

    I wasted my time so you don't have to. It was stupid. Basically it is Phase 1 - collapse.. PM worthless. Phase 2 - endurance... PM worthless. Phase 3- mumble mumble ... PM worthless Phase 4- recovery. PM can be sold again! Your corpse can now use PMs to resume your previous lifestyle! Which is kind of stupid IMO. I mean he's right in the mechanism, which is that PMs decouple your money from fiat currency, and that is their value. But he never gets very far into when and why that is of value. Here's some of mine, non exhaustive: -flight. There are cleaner shirts in the closet, and you want to put one of them on. If the smugglers aren't taking your local fiat currency, you need something to sell to get out. If they will, you may not be able to spend the local currency on the other end (embargo, no trust in it, etc). In that case PMs are man portable, fairly dense stores of wealth. -black markets. Historically things seldom break down totally and forever. The emphasis is on the KI in TEOTWAYKI in the real world. But historically, the consumer never loses. They get what they want, it just may have a cost. If people want something that the official sanctioned order of things can't get them, you get black markets. When dealing with black markets, you may need to conduct business in something other than the local currency. You can use PMs to buy things or more likely secure whatever the black market's trusted currency is. -banking without banks. Look at less developed nations, or nations with much more dynamic range with regards to wealth and poverty. PMs in the form of jewelry and luxury items are often a very common store of wealth when you don't want to trust the banks, or simply don't have banks. Anything we do today that uses loans may need something like PMs to be done in a less organized and automated society. -insurance. Mostly of the variety of I didn't see that coming. PMs can be a hedge against having prepared for the wrong systemic failure because it is a universal fiscal translator. That does come at a premium. -flexibility and freedom during the make pretend period. We are in the US. Lets face it, we are at the top of the pyramid, and if/when that ceases to be the case, we will pretend like nobody's business that everything is fine and normal. PMs, since they have use outside of being money, will likely have loopholes that will allow you to conduct some forms of business in an advantageous manner even within the system that is still hobbling around. What all the preppers and goldbugs seem to never want to say is that it's pretty much guaranteed you will lose money on precious metals. You are paying now to have them on hand later. But someone without TEOTWAYKI pressure there will be someone taking 10-20% up front to get you metal, and 10-20% at the back end to get rid of your metal. You will likely lose 25% on average doing anything but barter unless you are a fine gold/silver smith and can add value to it via your craft. That premium may buy you access to something in the future if things go badly. But realistically, if I have enough money to buy me a barrel of oil, if I turn it into PMs, I probably have enough to buy 80-90% of a barrel of oil. If I turn it back into cash at market rates, I probably have enough to buy 60-75% of a barrel of oil. From a financial standpoint, it is a significant upfront investment that can't easily be abandoned. Myself, I like to compare PMs to copper, oil, and chicken, and do my financial game planning on that historically to determine if I have "enough". (and I don't own a lot. maybe enough for a good bribe from some low level bureaucrat) But when I bought mine, a pound of boneless skinless chicken breast at costco was $1.99. Now it is $2.99. Based on metals prices, $1.99 of metals then should buy $2.98 of chicken now. A barrel of oil should be around $125, and a pound of copper should be about $5.40. It's at $4.40 (also to illustrate how you get screwed over by transitioning metals to cash, buying a pound of copper ingot runs $25-35 despite the market value. You can get industrial quantities at about $3 a pound).
  4. raz-0

    Precious metals

    I don't disagree. Like I said, I have not put a lot into PMs. (oops hadn't hit post, so I say that below).
  5. My prediction is more will be done to prop up ammo prices than component prices. I suspect primer prices will drop off when demand for ammo falls. Mainly because unlike the rest of it, primers involve significantly more skilled manual labor. They will be happy to be making a profit having reloaders pay to keep their primer manufacturing capacity on hand for the next crunch when they can ratchet up the margin on them. Primarily by selling them as part of loaded ammo. It may need to see some of the new ammo manufacturers (assemblers?) fail first though.
  6. We are definitely in a sell everything to somebody mode rather than a sell something to everybody mode. Even after expansion of capacity. Primers are still in short supply, and i don’t think there will be much easing of that until the ammo they are selling sits on shelves longer than it does now. I’m fine with profit. But with this kind of consolidation, we are a couple of decisions from the 2d being screwed over or priced for only the wealthy. It’s a sector where an adversarial relationship between the manufacturers and the customer base isn’t a good situation.
  7. If you want 9mm or 223 yes, they can usually sell you something. Outside of that there’s more issues.
  8. What the hell do you mean the ammo price increases weren't about over demand? We basically doubled ammo purchases. Is there a single domestic manufacturer of ammo or components that didn't expand production? We still aren't meeting demand fully. One of the quotes form the article is this "If Blinder were correct, then one would expect lots of new productive capacity and new entrants into this market." We saw both. The price of components has dropped back down from the peak. The price of powder has dropped back down form the peak. In general at least. The things really choking further expansion are primers and manufacturing capacity. If you shoot common calibers, you have probably noticed there is more available at off peak prices. However, if you shoot less common stuff, you are still hurting because the production lines are making what they will sell the most of. As for new entrants, we are seeing new imports. We have Palmetto looking to bring russian ammo production to the US by purchasing the machinery and importing it. I've seen people sporting significant purchases of primer brands I have never heard of in my life. So we somebody somewhere is participating in new markets even for primers, the hardest nut to crack in the supply chain for ammo manufacturers. I'm not a fan of the massive consolidation that has occurred, mainly because we are basically two bad management decisions away from being seriously screwed. But I'd argue that a lot of what we are seeing is the fact that regulatory pressures and government activism are driving some of the behavior. Every public firearms related stock has to ask themselves how to cope with activist funds trying to screw them either independently or at the behest of state legislation on investment funds belonging to the state. Stock buybacks and building war chests would seem a natural response to that threat.
  9. I mean have you looked at rent lately? It’s gotten insane. One of my friends was paying $1700 a month for a one bedroom. And they just published prices for the new year which puts the same units at $2100 a month. At $15/hr you either have to accommodate a kid’s schedule, or get lucky in finding someone in a situation where they don’t have to cover typical housing and food costs.
  10. QPQ nitrided carriers are awesome. They clean up easy and the finish can't flake off and the finish wears better than phosphate. For bolts I keep various spares about just in case, but I just buy JP bolts at this point. They are super consistent dimensionally, they last as well as anything, and they stand behind them.
  11. Yeah except that also applies to the non mim parts. SA had a spate of slide crack at stress risers because they had metallurgical problems. The issue isn't mim the issue is QA. I mean ruger knows their shit inside and out with casting. Ruger's issues tend to be with engineering and process on new stuff, but they largely work once a new product is sorted out. And I can't recall their casting ever being an issue.
  12. konica-minolta toner if you need such things (their factory blew up, and that was always going to suck, but the supply chain is slowing down the rebuild)). printers serviced in general. cisco switches are way screwed as mentioned previously. Many other brands as well. Wireless access points are getting scarce. video conferencing appliances and larger room scale hardware for same. usb-c docking stations. oil filters as mentioned above... stupidly marked up if available at all. furniture - i got a new bedroom set in October. That took a month to get here.... except for the dresser.... that got pushed to November, then January, now they are saying April. For something ordered in September. primers (slightly improved, but still bad) powder (more improved, but still bad) CPUs (this has gotten a lot better) graphics cards (this has gotten nothing but worse) There's always some paper product it is a PITA to get. The price of bacon sucks... I wish it had gone up just 20%. I think you can only manage that if you swap the good stuff for the cheapest of crap bacon. Winter coats for kids were a cluster fuck this year. Shopping mid September there was almost no stock, and very limited variety. It looked like last years leftovers plus one brand that got a bunch of inventory through on total crap jackets. More started showing up later, but damn. It took nearly a month to find my kid a coat that wasn't total trash. Most places had everything on the shelves to make it not look empty. Swimsuits still being on the rack in October? wtf.
  13. Every life is valuable. Heck.. since they are oppressed theirs are more valuable than yours.. just lay down and die already. I mean that's pretty much what california sherifs said to do... lay back and think of england.
  14. raz-0

    Mossberg 930

    I've got one. It's got issues. I personally never had an issue with it cycling light loads. It is, however, REALLY easy to get it to jam in a manner that needs tools to clear while reloading it. The way the foregrip is mounted makes it a pain to set up for quad loads. I just had it take a dump mid stage too many times in 3 gun. I've got about $1000 total into the gun trying to make it run. I've been much happier with my stoeger m3k.
  15. raz-0

    SA-35

    I mean it's not an opinion. Here s a pic of the new gun next to a BR9 next to a WW2 FN hi-power. That's just what a hi-power looks like. I mean it was designed by JMB after he made the 1911. It's a kind of cousin, but it's not a mash up of a hi-power and 1911.
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